Worried About A Labour Victory? Just Think Corbyn, McDonnell, Abbott – It’s Not Going To Happen.
“(Corbyn’s) sucking up to the IRA is a killer blow, for all his wriggling and squirming”
“stuck in a 1970s time warp with his outdated Chavez socialism”
“nationalisation has excited his pimply revolutionary followers and the dangerous fascist mental cases from Momentum”
“Because Miliband opened up the membership to every half-formed student union twit, they have an unassailable grip on Labour”
Relax! Don’t believe those loopy opinion polls. There’s no way enough British people are going to vote for a lefty, 9-bob Britain-hater like Jeremy Corbyn who won’t even sing the national anthem.
Why listen to me? Well, I predicted that the awful Ed Miliband would crash and burn, and he was duly consumed by British voters. (tories poised for victory). They couldn’t stomach the man with the student union politics and outsized, self-centered ego who shafted his own brother.
The Brexit referendum result was another triumph. It seemed to me that the issues of who governs Britain and out of control immigration would be powerful persuaders.
Best of all (depending on your politics) my Letters from America during the Trump campaign culminated in my prediction of his win (batten hatches lockup daughters trump going win).
Here’s why there’s no chance of a Labour win.
First of all, Ed Miliband looks like the second coming compared with Corbyn. The British people have never liked extreme lefties, and this one is egregious. His sucking up to the IRA is a killer blow, for all his wriggling and squirming.
For years Corbyn was against so-called shoot-to-kill, not to mention every piece of legislation aimed at curbing terrorists. He is on the record as Labour leader saying “no” to shoot to kill again. His claim 4 days before the election that he is the policeman’s friend in the fight against Islamic terror will fool nobody.
And in case anyone gets the wrong idea, this isn’t about shooting to kill random innocents; it’s about allowing the armed forces and police to kill terrorists about to kill one of us citizens.
Authentic, principled? Forget it
The idea that he is somehow gaining votes because he is authentic and principled doesn’t wash. He has been stuck in a 1970s time warp with his outdated Chavez socialism, which has no relation to current problems and doesn’t understand the theory of unintended consequences.
The programme of nationalisation has excited his pimply revolutionary followers and the dangerous fascist mental cases from Momentum, but normal British people know this is not the right time to do it, if there ever is going to be a right time. As Liam Byrne put it in 2010, the money has run out. His policy of abolishing student fees in 3 months time is utterly shallow, unbelievable and undeliverable. If you fall for the line about his great principled stands, for Hamas and Hezbollah too, even you might think a government formed of John McDonnell, Emily Thornberry, Diane Abbot, and Barry Gardiner, with walk on parts from Angus Robertson and Nicola Sturgeon might not be very competent.
YouGov bamboozled by social media
So his politics and economics make no sense and his personality is a turn off. So why is he making progress in the opinion polls? I say that this is simply an extension of the unreliability displayed in the 2015 election and 2016 Brexit referendum. Organisations like YouGov are being bamboozled, again by social media, and aren’t sophisticated enough to figure out how people really vote. The pimply ones don’t know much about politics and economics but they do know how to use social media to manipulate and create fake news. They can build the illusion of a landslide for Corbyn by setting up false twitter accounts and websites. (wwwspectrum.ieee.org) This will pump out false tweets acclaiming their obeisance to Corbyn. Then the dimwits at YouGov take all this at face value and declare the impossible – Corbyn could win.
The latest YouGov poll puts the Tory lead at only four points over Labour and falling, but ICM reckons it’s 11 points. How can there be such a huge difference? Someone has got it really wrong again, and I think it’s YouGov.
May by a mile
The betting market makes a bit more sense. Coral’s latest odds for the election have May as most likely to continue as Prime Minister after the election by a mile. The latest Coral odds for the party to emerge with the most seats are, according to the Telegraph:
- Conservative – 1/12
- Labour – 13/2
- Lib Dems – 500/1
- Ukip – 1000/1
- Greens – 1000/1
Despite the efforts of the political parties, people don’t start paying serious attention until the fat lady starts to clear her throat. They’ve got better things to do with their lives. In these last days of the campaign they will start to pay attention. Corbyn’s fatal weaknesses can’t be hidden. And in the voting booth, many will cease to toy with wannabes who don’t stand a chance of power and return to nurse May, for fear of something worse. A huge proportion of the public aren’t terribly interested in politics and only start to make up their minds in the few days before the election.
The more (real, normal not Momentum members) people see of Corbyn, the more they see a partly formed, weird politician, full of student union arrogance, and yet to be weaned off utopian Marxism arguments of his teenage years.
The main imponderable that will be answered on Friday is how the UKIP vote will pan out. It polled almost 13% in 2015 and by all accounts, given that this is the Brexit election and most people seem to think UKIP’s work is done, these votes are up for grabs. (Not me. I’m voting UKIP not least because of its brave and realistic stance on Islam). Given that many northern Labour constituencies went big for Brexit, and this party had been for Remain and weak about how we negotiate with the EU, it stands to reason the Tories will harvest a large chunk.
As the fat lady starts to sing on Friday, I think well see at least a 50-seat majority for the Tories.
After all, Corbyn’s economic policy will turn us into Venezuela in no time flat. His idea that austerity can somehow be forgotten about before the money is paid back is simply childish. His defence and security agenda will revolt normal people. His social policy is unaffordable. And the man is not the cuddly, friendly man of principle much of the media would have us believe. He is nasty and stupid, having failed to learn a thing since his teen years.
But when he loses don’t expect him to resign. The pimply ones won’t have that. If he does quit though, because of Ed Miliband’s legacy expect another brainless Trot to take over. Because Miliband opened up the membership to every half-formed student union twit, they have an unassailable grip on Labour, which will head on up the road to nowhere.
Expect the remaining halfway normal Labour MPs to bite the bullet and form a new Social Democratic Party along with the remnants of the Liberal Democrats, if there are any that is.
Thank you Ed Miliband for making it all possible.